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How steep interest rates have negated steadying car prices Advertiser Disclosure Advertiser Disclosure We are an independent, advertising-supported comparison service. Our mission is to help you make better financial choices by providing you with interactive tools and financial calculators, publishing original and objective content, by enabling users to conduct studies and to compare information at no cost and help you make informed financial decisions. Bankrate has partnerships with issuers such as, but not limited to, American Express, Bank of America, Capital One, Chase, Citi and Discover. How We Make Money The deals that are displayed on this website come from companies that compensate us. This compensation may impact how and where products are displayed on the site, such as for instance, the order in which they appear in the listing categories in the event that they are not permitted by law. Our mortgage, home equity, and other products that lend money to homeowners. But this compensation does affect the content we publish or the reviews that you read on this site. We do not include the entire universe of businesses or financial offers that may be available to you.



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10'000 Hours/Getty Images
5 min read Published March 22, 2023
Writen by Rebecca Betterton Written by Auto Loans Reporter

Rebecca Betterton is the auto loans reporter for Bankrate. She has a specialization in helping readers with the ways and pitfalls of using loans to buy the car they want.







The edit was done by Rhys Subitch Edited by Auto loans editor

Rhys has been writing and editing for Bankrate from late 2021. They are committed to helping readers gain confidence to control their finances by providing concise, well-studied information that breaks down complicated subjects into bite-sized pieces.









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The last two years of car prices have been a rollercoaster for both drivers and sellers. This summer was a record year for price transactions that averaged above $48,000, as per Kelley Blue Book (KBB) and then followed. Fortunately, car prices have been leveling in the last few weeks, following peak prices in the summer. But -- simultaneously -interest rates have been increasing. The simultaneous rise in rates as well as a drop in price has undermined any real gains for consumers. Rates of interest for new cars in October, up from 4.2 percent a year ago, according to Edmunds data. This has led to a frustrating circumstance for drivers getting some relief over sticker price. As the possibility of the recession is looming, it is important to be aware of how this could ripple down and impact the cost of owning a vehicle. Monthly payments are increasing by 3.3%. The monthly payment is based on several elements, such as the car, and the loan duration. But the cost is also affected by the benchmark rate, set by the Federal Reserve, which auto lenders utilize to . As as the Fed rate has increased -which is currently set at 4.75-5 percent over the past year, the cost to borrow money has followed. That means that lenders have increased the price of finance. The more you spend to borrow, the more the interest rates and the more expensive the monthly cost is. October set a record for monthly payments for new vehicles costing $748 according to KBB. While prices have decreased by nearly 5 percent the monthly payment is up 3.3 percent, as per an CoPilot study. Although this increase might appear small, it adds up to more than a thousand dollars during the . This was a disastrous outcome for motorists who were feeling relief from declining costs for vehicles. The savings that could be made are being offset by the rising interest rates. Even if vehicle transaction prices are lower but they'll still be much more -- making it impossible for motorists to afford it in the beginning. Lower wholesale prices have not been reflected over to retail Logic says that If wholesale prices are less and the cost that the consumer pays should follow however, that is not the case. Since the beginning of the year wholesale prices have fallen more than 15 percent. But the average cost of transactions for vehicles is still much higher. This is primarily due to the constant demand for new vehicles. October saw its highest level of new vehicle inventory since the month of May 2021. But just because the vehicles are available more readily doesn't mean that drivers are able to afford the cost of buying them. For many, the cost to buy right now is not worth the cost. As mentioned, October set record-high monthly payments of almost $750 according to KBB. Therefore, even though automobile inventory rose but it's still low by norms of the past. The limited supply of vehicles means continued high prices in the retail sector. Increase in credit union car loans Another reaction to rising interest rates has driven some borrowers to finance with . The difference between financing with a credit union is dependent on the cash available. Credit unions are member-owned and are not for profit, meaning they generally have lower fees and lower loan rate of interest. For the quarter that ended in 2022 Experian discovered that credit unions had increased their market share in the last five years, while falling in with the Fed raising interest rates. Credit unions are a great source of financing. is only one of the ways motorists are finding relief from this . The Federal Reserve's battle to stop inflation is not going to end anytime soon. Federal Reserve walks a thin line between regulating inflation while ensuring that prices remain affordable for consumers. The market for automobiles is an instance of an area which inflation isn't yet in control. And unfortunately the higher rates are likely to be going away any time soon. "Affordability is going to be a challenge for years to come in both new and used markets," explains Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke. "It's not the fault of the Federal Reserve, but it will impact the accessibility of transportation for consumers." KBB found an average earner would need to spend 40 weeks working to repay a new vehicle. Statistics like these, Smoke points out, are making car financing particularly difficult for lower earners. "Higher rates are already shifting access to cars and financing to wealthier customers," he says. Limited access to vehicles also means that it is difficult for consumers to respond as they may have in similarly difficult economic times. Looking back to the 2008 recession, drivers enjoyed the benefits of incentives for vehicles and sales by dealers wanting to sell. However, with fewer inventory options, there is no relief offered to drivers. Two of the main reasons for the probability of inflation increasing are overall debt growing --- reflected in increased delinquency rates, and drivers experiencing faster rates of depreciation. The amount of auto loan debt continues to grow. In total loan balances have grown 8 percent in the first quarter of 2021 to 2022, according to Experian. This is reflected in the huge . Alongside the overall debt growth the amount of debt is also increasing. The second quarter in the year 2022, TransUnion discovered the following: 3.34 percent of auto loans were over 30 days in arrears. This is among the highest delinquency numbers in the past few years. While it is true that some of this is due to backlogged accounts following the pandemic, this increase is still notable, especially for subprime borrowers , who are most greatly affected. "Delinquencies remain in line with the historical average for the majority of credit products. However, they have increased in the past year, especially among subprime consumer segments" states Michele Raneri, vice president of U.S. research and consulting at TransUnion. It is also expected that auto loan balances will surpass any remaining student loans in the first half of 2023, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. This increases the domino effect that moves by the Central Bank have on vehicle affordability. Therefore, when delinquencies are returning to levels prior to the pandemic, it is essential to be aware of how the rising interest rates will continue to increase the cost of a vehicle, and thus the chance of delinquency. Drivers are being met with faster-than-usual vehicle depreciation On in addition to the higher cost of cars and interest rates, car owners will likely lose money in the next few months due to faster vehicle depreciation according to Henry Hoenig, data journalist for Jerry. The primary reason for this is down due to the timing at which people buy their cars. "People who bought used cars in the past year or two have paid exorbitant costs," Hoenig explains. The used car market cools these drivers are most at chance of experiencing rapid depreciation. However, it's not all bad news for vehicle owners. "For at most the next year or so used vehicle values will likely not fall to the levels they were prior to the huge run-up in the past two years," Hoenig says. This is due in large part to the fact that supply isn't expected to return to normal levels soon. Now may not be the right time to purchase a car High vehicle costs aren't the only expenses that Americans are currently faced with. "Consumers are under pressure by a myriad of factors in the current environment of high inflation, as well as by the higher interest rates that is the Federal Reserve is implementing to slow it down," Raneri explains. A car purchase is among the biggest expenditures consumers make. And with the high interest rates, patience may be a winning strategy. The fact that prices are high is perhaps inevitable, however, waiting for a major purchase like a car could result in savings. If you do not have the luxury of waiting, prepare to pay more and think about ways to save money when purchasing the car you want in .


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Written by Auto Loans Reporter

Rebecca Betterton is the auto loans reporter for Bankrate. She has a specialization in helping readers with the details of borrowing money to purchase a car.



Edited by Rhys Subitch Edited by Auto loans editor

Rhys has been editing and writing for Bankrate from late 2021. They are passionate about helping readers to manage their finances with clear, well-researched facts that break down complicated topics into bite-sized pieces.






Auto loans editor




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